Over the past two years, FM3 conducted research for 10 successful statewide ballot initiatives in California, Minnesota, Ohio, Rhode Island, and Wisconsin. In California alone, 10 statewide measures were on the ballot in November 2024—FM3 was the pollster for five of those measures and ended up on the winning side of each one. 

Some of the most notable statewide wins we worked on this cycle include: 

Climate and environment wins in three states, including: 

• California’s Proposition 4 (November 2024), a $10 billion climate bond to fund state and local parks, environmental protection projects, water infrastructure projects, energy projects, and flood protection projects 

• Rhode Island’s Question 4 (November 2024), a $53 million environmental bond for infrastructure, local recreation projects, and preservation of land 

• Minnesota’s Amendment 1 (November 2024) to extend the dedication of revenue from the state-operated lottery to the Environment and Natural Resources Fund through 2050 

Education funding in the state of California, where voters approved Proposition 2 (November 2024), a $10 billion K-14 statewide school bond with $8.5 billion dedicated to elementary and secondary educational facilities and $1.5 billion for community college facilities. 

Rejecting political interference with emergency funding in Wisconsin, by defeating two deceptive statewide referenda placed on the ballot in the August primary election.  

Drug reform in Ohio, where voters approved Issue 2 (November 2023) to legalize adult use of marijuana. 

FM3’s research contributed to the passage of 130+ local ballot measures across nine states over the past two years. Notably, we worked on successful measures in liberal and conservative areas; urban, rural, and suburban communities; and among ideologically and ethnically diverse electorates. 

Some of our proudest accomplishments from this cycle include: 

Dozens of successful local measures to provide education funding. FM3’s work contributed to the passage of 36 local K-14 school bond measures and two school parcel tax measures, which all told are set to generate an estimated $15.4 billion for education funding. Notably, we contributed to the passage of double measures for three separate school district clients: Folsom Cordova Unified School District, South Monterey County Joint Union High School District, and Victor Valley Union High School District. 

More than 70 successful revenue measures to provide funding to local communities. Among other issue areas, this included: 

• 39 general-purpose sales tax measures  

• 9 local measures to provide funding for parks, conservation, and other environmental issues in California, Maine, New Mexico, Oregon, Texas, and Washington 

• 4 local measures to provide dedicated funding for health and public safety 

• 2 local measures to provide dedicated funding for road repair 

• 2 local measures to provide dedicated funding for public libraries 

Successful measures in several communities that at one time may have been considered too small to poll reliably, such as Sutter Creek, CA (<2K registered voters); Trinidad, CO (4K registered voters); and Arcata, CA (10K registered voters). 

The Suffolk County Water Quality Restoration Act, which will provide $4 billion to modernize wastewater infrastructure and protect Long Island’s waters from nitrogen pollution and $2 billion to protect clean drinking water by conserving open space and wildlife habitats. This meaningful victory follows eight years of FM3 conducting research related to water quality issues on Long Island. 

FM3 conducted research for 35+ successful candidate races across six states, ranging from local city council and mayoral races to state and national legislative races.  

Nationally, FM3’s work for Senate Majority PAC helped send Tammy Baldwin back to the Senate to represent Wisconsin for a third term. We also helped re-elect three members of Congress—Greg Stanton (AZ), Susan DelBene (WA), and Rick Larsen (WA)—and provided battleground polling to the DCCC that helped cut the GOP margin to one of the narrowest in decades. 

At the state level, our firm helped elect Bob Ferguson as Washington Governor and Tobias Read as Oregon Secretary of State. FM3 also worked on 12 successful state legislative races in California, Oregon, and Wisconsin. Notably, our research for four State Representatives in Oregon—Tom Andersen, Zach Hudson, Courtney Neron, and Hoa Nguyen—helped Democrats’ hold onto their House supermajority in the state. 

Locally, FM3 helped elect mayors in four major California cities—Fresno, Sacramento, San Francisco, and San Jose—and in Boise, Idaho. We also helped elect eight city councilmembers, four county supervisors, and two district attorneys for jurisdictions throughout California.