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November 2018 Post-Election Update

The November 2018 election brought critical wins for Democrats – we took back the House, elected more women and people of color than ever before, provided funding for critical public services across the country, and sent the Trump Administration a strong message of dissent. The FM3 Research team is proud to have been a part of these successes and to have collaborated with committed and hard-working campaigns across the country.


  • FM3 polling and strategic advice for the DSCC helped to propel Kyrsten Sinema to a historic and major victory, becoming Arizona’s first female U.S. Senator and the first Democrat to win an Arizona U.S. Senate seat in 24 years. FM3 also continued its strong record of helping Democrats win Wisconsin statewide elections – our research for MajorityPAC, which led the party’s coordinated independent expenditure campaign, helped Tammy Baldwin win decisively and ensure Democratic representation in a key swing state. These victories build on our successful work on Doug Jones’s 2017 campaign for United States Senate.
  • Our team helped eight Democrats win election to Congress, including independent expenditure work in key California swing districts: Josh Harder (CA-10), Katie Hill (CA-25), Katie Porter (CA-45), Harley Rouda (CA-48), and Mike Levin (CA-49). We supported first-time Representative Greg Stanton (AZ-9), as well as re-election campaigns for Anna Eshoo (CA-18), Jimmy Panetta (CA-20), Norma Torres (CA-35), Kurt Schrader (OR-5), and Suzan DelBene (WA-1).
  • FM3 provided research contributing to an independent expenditure committee supporting Gavin Newsom‘s election for Governor, ensuring that California’s progressive values are defended.
  • We helped win five California State Legislative races, giving Democrats a 2/3 supermajority in the Legislature, including Rudy Salas, Buffy Wicks, Susan Rubio, Anna Caballero, and Tasha Boerner-Horvath. Additionally, we helped elect Jesse Salomon to the Washington State Senate and Sandra Kennedy to the Arizona Corporation Commission.
  • Our team supported Mayor’s races across the nation including Phoenix’s Daniel Valenzuela who is now headed to a March 2019 run-off election; London Breed, the first African-American woman to be elected mayor of San Francisco (June 2018); Long Beach Mayor Robert Garcia’s re-election (June 2018), and Seattle’s Jenny Durkan (2017).

Statewide Ballot Measures

  • We are pleased to announce key victories in our home state of California:
    • We were a part of the No on Prop 6 campaign team, defeating the gas tax repeal, which would have left a gaping hole in much-needed funding for roads, bridges, transit, and infrastructure throughout our state and in June 2018 supported the Yes on Prop 69 campaign, creating a transportation funding “lockbox.”
    • Our team provided research for the No on Prop 10 campaign, defeating a measure that would have discouraged the construction of affordable housing.
    • FM3 also conducted research in support of the Proposition 1 campaign, which will provide $4 billion in funding for housing assistance programs for low-income families, veterans, and workers across the state.
    • In June 2018, we helped pass Proposition 68, which provided $4 billion in bonds for state and local parks, environmental protection projects, water infrastructure projects, and flood protection projects.
  • Our team contributed to the campaign to legalize recreational marijuana in Michigan, the first midwestern state to do so, and medical marijuana in Missouri and Utah. These successes build on our firm’s prior record of success in repealing ineffective, unfair drug laws and legalizing marijuana for adults in four states and the District of Columbia.
  • In Oregon, our team provided polling for all five measures on the statewide ballot. Most notably, we supported the campaign team for No on Measure 105, preventing state resources from being used to apprehend undocumented immigrants, and No on Measure 106, protecting public funding for reproductive health and abortions. Our successes in defeating Measures 103 and 104, both of which would irreparably harm the state’s ability to raise revenue, were a joint polling effort with GBA Strategies.
  • As a part of the Colorado No on Amendment 74 team, we defeated a measure funded by the oil and gas industry that would have expanded property owners’ power to claim “just compensation” from the government, meaning that oil, gas and other corporate interests could bankrupt state and local governments through lawsuits.
  • In 2017, we worked with several progressive organizations to provide the foundational research for successful ballot measures supporting redistricting and voting reform in Michigan, Nevada, and Missouri.

Local Ballot Measures

(Click here to read more specifically about 2018 local ballot measures in California)

  • We helped raise $6.4 billion in 12 school districts across the state. Our team supported San Diego USD in passing a $3.5 billion bond measure. We are proud to have worked on successful bond measure campaigns in: Chaffey Community College District, Mt. San Antonio Community College District, Placer Union High School District, Sanger USD, Vallejo City USD, Del Mar USD, Hemet USD, South Monterey County Joint Union HSD, Tahoe Truckee USD, Natomas USD, and El Monte Union HSD.  Some highlights of this work include:
    • In Tahoe Truckee Unified School District voters across three counties passed a $148 parcel tax renewal and increase measure that will generate $5.6 million dollars annually.
    • In the Mt. San Antonio Community College District (Los Angeles County) voters approved a $750 million general obligation bond measure to improve the district’s campus, enhance career education programs and upgrade science/technology labs to better serve the more than 20,000 students who attend the college.
    • And Chaffey Community College District (San Bernardino County) secured $700 million dollars through Measure P, a general obligation bond, that will fund repairs and improvements classroom buildings to better serve the educational needs of students, workers and the community.
  • FM3 helped more than 50 local governments across the country win voter approval for funding needed to support important services for citizens.
    • Los Angeles County voters approved Measure W, the largest parcel tax in US history, raising $300 million annually to protect water quality and safe drinking water, and prepare for future droughts.
    • Voters in the City of San Jose approved Measure T, investing $650 million in the City’s infrastructure and roads.
    • The City of Sacramento passed a one-cent sales tax, Measure U, providing critical funding for police, fire, parks, homelessness services, and more.
    • The voters of the City of Houston approved Proposition A, continuing funding for Rebuild Houston which provides critical road and storm drain repairs, making the city more resilient and creating safeguards for the funds raised.
    • Portland-area voters approved Measure 26-199, a $652.8 million affordable housing bond which will build 3,900 homes for working families.
  • Our team helped 27 municipalities pass sales taxes: Alameda, Antioch, Burbank, Carpinteria, Covina, Culver City, Daly City, Garden Grove, Glendale, La Puente, Lawndale, Los Banos, Martinez, Monterey, Pasadena, Pomona, Porterville, Roseville, Sacramento, Santa Ana, Santa Fe Springs, Wildomar, Norco, Chowchilla, and Yuba, Humboldt, and Santa Cruz counties.  Some highlights of this work include:
    • The success of Measure N in Bakersfield raises the city’s sales tax by 1 cent and provides funding for critical city services, including public safety.
    • Burbank voters passed Measure P, a .75 cent sales tax, generating $20 million annually for general city services and upgrading aging city infrastructure.
    • In Covina, voters approved Measure CC, a .75 cent sales tax increase that will generate more than $5 million annually for city services.
    • Culver City voters approved a .25 cent sales tax increase, which will generate $4.9 million dollars annually for the city’s general fund; this is the 4th ballot measure Culver City voters have approved in recent years to fund city services.
    • Garden Grove voters voted to enact a 1-cent sales tax, which will generate $19 million for vital city services annually and will provide the funding necessary to prevent a reduction in services provided by Garden Grove police and fire departments.
    • Glendale voters approved Measure S, approving a .75 cent sales tax, which will provide $30 million dollars annually for general city purposes.
    • Lawndale voters approved Measure L, a .75 cent sales tax that will generate more than $2 million per year to maintain public safety and other local services.
    • Norco voters approved a one-cent sales tax increase to provide $4.5 million annually to fund city services, which includes maintaining local trails and open-space to preserve “Horsetown, USA.”
    • Pasadena Measure I was also a success on the ballot, establishing a .75 cent sales tax and providing $21 million annually for city services, and was accompanied by a successful advisor measure that dedicated one-third of the sales tax revenue for neighborhood schools.
    • The voters of Pomona voted to approve both a .75 cent sales tax and a marijuana business tax, both providing funding for general city services.
    • Voters in Santa Ana approved a 1.5 cent sales tax for general city services, providing $60 million annually for city services until 2039; approving this measure will help the city maintain vital local services and increase funding for emergency services to reduce homelessness.
    • In Santa Fe Springs, 75% of voters supported Measure Y, a 1-cent sales tax that will provide an additional $12.8 million annually for vital local services.
    • More than 70% of voters in the City of La Puente approved Measure LP, raising the city sales tax one-half cent to provide an additional $1.5 million per year for local services.
  • We had a 100% success rate with our transient occupancy taxes in: Daly City, Diamond Bar, Milpitas, Palo Alto, Sunnyvale, and Calaveras, Mariposa, and Santa Clara counties.
  • FM3 helped the cities of Hemet, Moreno Valley, Mountain View, Pomona, Santa Ana, San Luis Obispo, and Santa Paula pass taxes on cannabis.
  • Voters in Long Beach approved four measures to amend the City Charter, regulating the City Auditor’s Authority, instituting term limits for the Mayor and City Council, creating an independent ethics commission and a redistricting commission.
  • In collaboration with the San Francisco Proposition A team, we passed the first major climate resilience finance measure in the country, which will invest $425 million in repairing and rebuilding the sea wall to protect San Franciscans against sea level rise, and in the next major earthquake.
  • Our team worked with the San Francisco Proposition E campaign team in June 2018 to ban flavored tobacco in SF, standing up to Big Tobacco’s attempts to market its products to children.
  • In June 2018, FM3 supported the Regional Measure 3 campaign team in passing the nine-county, Bay Area-wide measure, raising tolls on the seven state-owned bridges to finance $4.45 billion in highway and transit improvements.

Our firm was proud to work on some close losses as well, including Lisa Brown for Congress (WA-5).

Thank you to all the dedicated elected leaders, campaign teams, consultants and volunteers who partnered with us in these efforts. As the fight goes on at the national level, the work you have done – and will continue to do – makes our communities safer, healthier and more equitable.